all types›C01

Sample-Space Enumeration & Event Listing

How to spot it — Asks you to list outcomes, never to compute a number.

7 questions§2.1difficulty 2–3

Definition

Problems that ask you to build a sample space explicitly and then write down which outcomes belong to named events. No probability is attached to anything — the deliverable is a set, not a number.

The underlying idea

An experiment's sample space 𝒮 is the set of all outcomes; an event is a subset of 𝒮. Before any probability can be assigned, you must be able to say what the outcomes are and how finely they are distinguished. The modelling decision — ordered vs unordered, fixed-length vs variable-length, distinguishable vs identical objects — is the entire content of these problems.

Recognition

Two independent paths. Read the left column when you can quote the page; read the right when the wording is unfamiliar but the situation is not.

Surface — what is written
  • "List all outcomes in 𝒮."
  • "Which outcomes are contained in the event A that ...?"
  • "List the 27 outcomes in the sample space."
  • "What are the 16 outcomes in 𝒮?"
  • "One possible outcome can be denoted by 1324 ..." (the author hands you the notation)
  • "List outcomes in D′, C ∪ D, and C ∩ D."
  • No number, percentage or probability appears anywhere in the problem.
Structure — what it demands
  • An experiment is described physically and you must impose a formal outcome space on it.
  • The number of outcomes is small enough to write down (8 to 35 in every exercise here).
  • Follow-up parts apply set algebra to sets you have just enumerated, so the real test is whether the enumeration was complete.
  • Three sub-shapes recur: fixed-length strings (Q2, Q3, Q4, Q5), permutations/multiset arrangements (Q1, Q7), and stopping-rule experiments with variable-length outcomes (Q6).

Traps — where surface and structure disagree

⚠ 1

Q6 looks like a product-rule count but is not. "A student examines these books in random order, stopping only when a second printing has been selected" means outcomes have different lengths (1, 2 or 3 books). Anyone who computes 5·4·3 has ignored the stopping rule. Stratify by length: 3 + 6 + 6 = 15.

⚠ 2

Q2(e) — D′ is not A. "Exactly two vehicles go in the same direction" has complement "all three the same OR all three different", i.e. A ∪ B, not just A. Complements of 'exactly k' events always sweep up two or more cases.

⚠ 3

Q7 has repeated symbols. Four A-slips and three B-slips are identical within type, so the count is C(7,3) = 35, not 7! = 5040. Treating identical objects as distinguishable is the single most common enumeration error.

⚠ 4

Q5 is ordered, Q23 (Section 2.2) is unordered. Both involve 'assigning' or 'selecting', but persons are distinguishable (ordered triples, 3³ = 27) while a committee is not (unordered pairs, C(6,2) = 15). Read whether the identity of the position matters.

Solution recipe

  1. Decide what a single outcome records, and pick a compact notation (a string, a tuple, an ordered list).
  2. Decide whether order matters and whether objects are distinguishable. This fixes the counting rule:
    • fixed-length strings over an alphabet of size k, length n → kⁿ outcomes
    • distinct objects arranged → n! outcomes
    • repeated symbols (a multiset) → C(n, k) style counts
    • a stopping rule → outcomes of unequal length; stratify by length and list each stratum
  3. Write out 𝒮 systematically (by length, then lexicographically) so nothing is missed.
  4. For each named event, filter 𝒮 by the stated condition.
  5. Apply ∪, ∩, ′ directly to the listed sets; look for containments (A ⊆ B) that collapse the work.

How the book escalates

Q1–Q5 are straight product-rule enumerations of increasing size (16, 27, 8, 16, 27). Q6 breaks the fixed-length assumption with a stopping rule. Q7 breaks the distinguishability assumption with a multiset, and its part (b) adds a path condition (the ballot problem) that no formula in Chapter 2 covers — it must be checked outcome by outcome.

Member questions — 7

2.1 · Ex 1tournament / bracket outcomes · set operations on listed events●●○○○
Verbatim
Four universities—1, 2, 3, and 4—are participating in a holiday basketball tournament. In the first round, 1 will play 2 and 3 will play 4. Then the two winners will play for the championship, and the two losers will also play. One possible outcome can be denoted by 1324 (1 beats 2 and 3 beats 4 in first-round games, and then 1 beats 3 and 2 beats 4). a. List all outcomes in 𝒮. b. Let A denote the event that 1 wins the tournament. List outcomes in A. c. Let B denote the event that 2 gets into the championship game. List outcomes in B. d. What are the outcomes in A ∪ B and in A ∩ B? What are the outcomes in A′?
2.1 · Ex 2fixed-length sequences over a small alphabet · set operations on listed events●●○○○
Verbatim
Suppose that vehicles taking a particular freeway exit can turn right (R), turn left (L), or go straight (S). Consider observing the direction for each of three successive vehicles. a. List all outcomes in the event A that all three vehicles go in the same direction. b. List all outcomes in the event B that all three vehicles take different directions. c. List all outcomes in the event C that exactly two of the three vehicles turn right. d. List all outcomes in the event D that exactly two vehicles go in the same direction. e. List outcomes in D′, C ∪ D, and C ∩ D.
2.1 · Ex 3component success/failure strings · system-functioning events●●○○○
Verbatim
Three components are connected to form a system as shown in the accompanying diagram. Because the components in the 2–3 subsystem are connected in parallel, that subsystem will function if at least one of the two individual components functions. For the entire system to function, component 1 must function and so must the 2–3 subsystem. (diagram: component 1 in series with a parallel block containing components 2 and 3) The experiment consists of determining the condition of each component [S (success) for a functioning component and F (failure) for a nonfunctioning component]. a. Which outcomes are contained in the event A that exactly two out of the three components function? b. Which outcomes are contained in the event B that at least two of the components function? c. Which outcomes are contained in the event C that the system functions? d. List outcomes in C′, A ∪ C, A ∩ C, B ∪ C, and B ∩ C.
2.1 · Ex 4fixed-length binary strings · set operations on listed events●●○○○
Verbatim
Each of a sample of four home mortgages is classified as fixed rate (F) or variable rate (V). a. What are the 16 outcomes in 𝒮? b. Which outcomes are in the event that exactly three of the selected mortgages are fixed rate? c. Which outcomes are in the event that all four mortgages are of the same type? d. Which outcomes are in the event that at most one of the four is a variable-rate mortgage? e. What is the union of the events in parts (c) and (d), and what is the intersection of these two events? f. What are the union and intersection of the two events in parts (b) and (c)?
2.1 · Ex 5assignment / allocation outcomes · ordered triples over a label set●●○○○
Verbatim
A family consisting of three persons—A, B, and C—goes to a medical clinic that always has a doctor at each of stations 1, 2, and 3. During a certain week, each member of the family visits the clinic once and is assigned at random to a station. The experiment consists of recording the station number for each member. One outcome is (1, 2, 1) for A to station 1, B to station 2, and C to station 1. a. List the 27 outcomes in the sample space. b. List all outcomes in the event that all three members go to the same station. c. List all outcomes in the event that all members go to different stations. d. List all outcomes in the event that no one goes to station 2.
2.1 · Ex 6variable-length outcomes · sequential sampling with a stopping rule●●●○○
Verbatim
A college library has five copies of a certain text on reserve. Two copies (1 and 2) are first printings, and the other three (3, 4, and 5) are second printings. A student examines these books in random order, stopping only when a second printing has been selected. One possible outcome is 5, and another is 213. a. List the outcomes in 𝒮. b. Let A denote the event that exactly one book must be examined. What outcomes are in A? c. Let B be the event that book 5 is the one selected. What outcomes are in B? d. Let C be the event that book 1 is not examined. What outcomes are in C?
2.1 · Ex 7permutations of a multiset · path/tally conditions●●●○○
Verbatim
An academic department has just completed voting by secret ballot for a department head. The ballot box contains four slips with votes for candidate A and three slips with votes for candidate B. Suppose these slips are removed from the box one by one. a. List all possible outcomes. b. Suppose a running tally is kept as slips are removed. For what outcomes does A remain ahead of B throughout the tally?